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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 15 Sept 2026, 14:39 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

Quoting · 10 Sept 2026, 23:04 UTC · context given to the AI

As a more conservative filter I am defining the trough of this $BTC M top as 76k zone rather than 77k https://t.co/uDI8mLTkXx

$BTC flirting with a breakdown https://t.co/I2lR7Vas73

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $75,869 at 15 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,638 at 16 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 75637.85 / 75869.26 − 1 = -0.3%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time