Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,478 at 15 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,405 at 16 Sept 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 2404.56 / 2478.13 − 1 = -3.0%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology