Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,942 at 14 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,909 at 15 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 76909.14 / 78941.81 − 1 = -2.6%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology