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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 14 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

$ETH printed a Golden Cross against Bitcoin. Hold 0.031–0.032 BTC as support, and I’m betting on Ethereum to outperform. https://t.co/jLjbN13ITc

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,529 at 14 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,421 at 15 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 2420.87 / 2528.83 − 1 = -4.3%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -4.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time