Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $PCC price at or after publication, $0.004262 at 14 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.002788 at 15 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.00278816056588153 / 0.00426222583332777 − 1 = -34.6%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -34.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology