Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $CATE price at or after publication, $0.07545 at 14 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.06646 at 15 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.06645875557428377 / 0.07545493900651166 − 1 = -11.9%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -11.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology