Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,705 at 14 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,955 at 15 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 76955.06 / 77705.03 − 1 = -0.97%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.97% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology