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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 14 Sept 2026, 01:59 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:55 UTC

Bluntz

@Bluntz_Capital

Quoting · 10 Sept 2026, 00:50 UTC · context given to the AI

its critical to observe what coins are strong during bloodbaths because it tells you what is going to run hard when the bid comes back.

this is the second marketwide red day that $cate is still up btw. the first may be coincidence, the second is not. https://t.co/opVtaBRZlc

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $CATE price at or after publication, $0.07723 at 14 Sept 2026, 02:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.07253 at 15 Sept 2026, 02:00 UTC.
r = 0.07253289407828278 / 0.07722528230512195 − 1 = -6.1%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -6.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $CATE ($CATE)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “this is the second marketwide red day that $cate is still up btw.”
Confidence: 91%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3