Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,800 at 14 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,175 at 15 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC.
3. r = 78175 / 76799.85 − 1 = +1.79%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.79% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology