Published 13 Sept 2026, 15:16 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC
CrypNuevo 🔨
@CrypNuevo
In reply to · 13 Sept 2026, 15:16 UTC · context given to the AI
The first thing I notice on the chart is this long wick from Friday. It's a long wick in both directions: • Downside wick: 50% filled ✅ • Upside wick: still a target and will likely get filled next https://t.co/v7xSCypCKUSomething that concerns me is the FOMC we have on Wednesday. The Fed is likely set to hike 25bps which could lead to some selling in the stock market and Bitcoin would follow. If that's the case, we could first see the upside wick fill as a false move at the start of the week. https://t.co/7thDIlHyVCView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 80874.2 / 77105.27 − 1 = +4.9%d × r = -4.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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