Published 13 Sept 2026, 12:45 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
Killa
@KillaXBT
Quoting · 7 Sept 2026, 15:03 UTC · context given to the AI
The 14th of September is a date worth paying attention to. Historically, 11/14 times we've seen a negative reaction around this date, primarily because $BTC was trading within a bear market. But the dynamic has changed. Since $BTC transitioned back into an uptrend, the 14th has actually marked pushes to the upside rather than downside. As always with these pivots, I care more about the narrative heading into the date than the date itself. If we start aggressively pumping into the 14th, I'll be looking for the inverse move. If we start dumping into it, vice versa. The objective is simple, identify the narrative into the pivot, then look for a 2–3% move in the opposite direction.Ironic... Tomorrow is the 14th, and $BTC is dumping into it, creating the perfect bearish narrative. You already know the drill. When we dump into significant dates or lows, I look for the inverse move. Next week, I'd be expecting a 3-4% move back to the upside at a minimum. https://t.co/dZ7UFJmsJ0 https://t.co/qxHov7DZvqView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 80451.15 / 76731.88 − 1 = +4.8%d × r = +4.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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