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Leaderboard / @KillaXBT / 2099088677871776229:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 13 Sept 2026, 10:51 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Ki

Killa

@KillaXBT

GM. ☕️ Probably not a bad idea to look for some $BTC scalp longs if you haven’t already.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,642 at 13 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,869 at 14 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 77868.58 / 76642.44 − 1 = +1.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Probably not a bad idea to look for some $BTC scalp longs if you haven’t already.”
Confidence: 89%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$76,642

Evaluation price

$77,869

Move

+1.6%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 16:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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