Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 13 Sept 2026, 10:15 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

In reply to · 13 Sept 2026, 09:23 UTC · context given to the AI

@MerlijnTrader $76.5K support, $70K–$74K below. BTC has some key levels in play. 👀

@zebpay Yessir time to accumulate during the pullbacks 📈

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,642 at 13 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,869 at 14 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 77868.58 / 76642.44 − 1 = +1.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time