Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 12 Sept 2026, 17:27 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC

🐧

@Pentosh1

Quoting · 7 Sept 2026, 13:40 UTC · context given to the AI

$PUMP update, nice reaction, could be setting a higher low https://t.co/oEzxykiU0t https://t.co/abesBgzvcu

$PUMP back into the buy zone. Think this is a great area to accumulate as previously stated. spot of course for me. https://t.co/HtWB2C1q3s https://t.co/s9yCAXXmeB

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $PUMP price at or after publication, $0.003897 at 12 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.003597 at 13 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 0.0035971631031254275 / 0.0038971223546501116 − 1 = -7.70%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -7.70% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $PUMP ($PUMP)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$PUMP back into the buy zone.”
Confidence: 96%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction