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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 12 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

BITCOIN CAN SHAKE YOU OUT WITHOUT MAKING A NEW LOW. Dips toward $70K are accumulation opportunities in my view. The Wyckoff comparison below is why I’m staying bullish through the pullbacks. Reclaim $83K and hold it as support. That’s my signal for the next major leg higher. https://t.co/3xaDrvSthi

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,336 at 12 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,766 at 13 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 76766.09 / 77336.03 − 1 = -0.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “BITCOIN CAN SHAKE YOU OUT WITHOUT MAKING A NEW LOW.”
Confidence: 88%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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