Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,533 at 12 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,493 at 13 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 2493.25 / 2533.02 − 1 = -1.57%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.57% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology