Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $HMM price at or after publication, $0.01198 at 11 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.01009 at 12 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.0100901488067582 / 0.0119787296325048 − 1 = -15.77%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -15.77% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology