Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,537 at 11 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $2,511 at 11 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC.
3. r = 2511.48 / 2536.86 − 1 = -1.00%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.00% against a neutral band of ±0.51% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology