Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,029 at 11 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $77,122 at 11 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC.
3. r = 77121.61 / 77029.26 − 1 = +0.12%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.12% against a neutral band of ±0.41% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology