Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,505 at 11 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,191 at 12 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 77191.42 / 77505.18 − 1 = -0.4%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology