Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 11 Sept 2026, 16:55 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:38 UTC

Altcoin Sherpa

@AltcoinSherpa

I think it's really important to have some sort of follow up for BTC / ETH in the next 1-2 days. I don't want to see us trade back within this range for ETH and I don't want to see us retest those 76k lows for BTC either. If this is a true breakout then we need to see strength. The longer this hangs around, the worse it is IMO (more talking about ETH). I'm still cautiously bullish in the short term and very bullish in the mid term. But really interesting 48 hours ahead of us IMO.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,577 at 11 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,532 at 12 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 2531.53 / 2577.02 − 1 = -1.77%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.77% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “I think it's really important to have some sort of follow up for BTC / ETH in the next 1-2 days.”
Confidence: 78%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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