Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $MANIFEST price at or after publication, $0.0125 at 11 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.01054 at 12 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.010544238085713444 / 0.012501973382535787 − 1 = -15.7%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -15.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology