Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $MANIFEST price at or after publication, $0.01096 at 11 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $0.00918 at 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.009180214711885546 / 0.010957492549115818 − 1 = -16.2%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -16.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology