Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 11 Sept 2026, 14:50 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:19 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

$ETH on steroids, amazing bounce, remains fully bullish on its way to $3,000 🫡 https://t.co/LzZNhURvEs

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,607 at 11 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,539 at 12 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 2539.18 / 2607.07 − 1 = -2.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH on steroids, amazing bounce, remains fully bullish on its way to $3,000 🫡 https://t.co/LzZNhURvEs”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3