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Published 11 Sept 2026, 01:35 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:37 UTC
Mike Alfred
@mikealfred
In reply to · 11 Sept 2026, 01:10 UTC · context given to the AI
The clock continues to run out for the 4 year cycle bros. 339 days after the peak, Bitcoin sits 38.3% below its all-time high. Here is where every prior cycle stood on day 339: 2011: -83% 2013: -69% 2017: -77% 2021: -71% We are 31 points shallower than the mildest bear in Bitcoin's history at this exact stage. The deepest print this cycle is -53%. The prior cycle bottoms were -93%, -85%, -83%, and -77%, each one shallower than the last. Eevery historical trough landed between day 163 and day 406. Day 406 arrives November 16. So the next 67 days decide the story:@AdamBLiv IT WAS A MID CYCLE CORRECTIONView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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