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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 Sept 2026, 07:38 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Ed_NL

@Crypto_Ed_NL

$ETH Interesting range play for the past weeks after that impulsive move up. 1: range high 2: range low 3: take out range high, trap longs 4: rejected at range low 5: rejected at range high 6: lower high 7: break EQ and I think it'll go for a sweep of the range low https://t.co/PROei4sNhm

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,472 at 10 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,466 at 11 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC.
r = 2466.49 / 2472.2 − 1 = -0.2%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH Interesting range play for the past weeks after that impulsive move up.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

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