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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 9 Sept 2026, 17:02 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Davinci Jeremie

@Davincij15

#Bitcoin: $1 → $32 → $2 → $100,000 → $77,000 I was there for all of it. You know what changed? Nothing. Same FUD. Same panic. Same people selling the bottom. See you at $500k.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,755 at 9 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,286 at 10 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 77286.05 / 78754.88 − 1 = -1.9%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “#Bitcoin: $1 → $32 → $2 → $100,000 → $77,000”
Confidence: 93%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

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