Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,582 at 9 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,219 at 10 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 77218.74 / 78582.07 − 1 = -1.73%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.73% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology