Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 9 Sept 2026, 08:16 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

SalsaTekila

@SalsaTekila

In reply to · 9 Sept 2026, 08:12 UTC · context given to the AI

@SalsaTekila Once we break 1250, 1500 and 2000 come quick 🫶

@Sjoerdramoss I feel like ETH might steal the show and lead a bit, and if it stays up the rest follows, just my intuition.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,520 at 9 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,471 at 10 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 2470.72 / 2519.71 − 1 = -1.9%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@Sjoerdramoss I feel like ETH might steal the show and lead a bit, and if it stays up the rest follows, just my intuition.”
Confidence: 91%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3