Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 8 Sept 2026, 17:45 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:19 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

In reply to · 8 Sept 2026, 17:27 UTC · context given to the AI

@randgroup @AdamBLiv the odds are just pricing in the pain not the euphoria

@fenibelal @AdamBLiv Well the chances of Bitcoin hitting $100k are so much better now than just a few short weeks ago.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“@OffsetGrinR @AdamBLiv We are absolutely still early bro... we will look back at $BTC under $80k and shake our heads in disbelief.”Repeat8 Sept 2026, 17:41 UTC
“@GoFa44121074 @AdamBLiv Bitcoin at $170k would be amazing, dont bet against it”Repeat8 Sept 2026, 18:30 UTC
“Bitcoin is done with the Nasdaq trade and pairing with Gold instead. The last time this happened (back in 2017) we got a face melting bull run, you are not ready Source: @willywoo https://t.co/Huz1x923cC”Repeat9 Sept 2026, 08:12 UTC
“$85,000 is just the trigger range, we are going way higher https://t.co/9MytNweRW6 https://t.co/CilnKvFj1m”Repeat9 Sept 2026, 15:11 UTC

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@fenibelal @AdamBLiv Well the chances of Bitcoin hitting $100k are so much better now than just a few short weeks ago.”
Confidence: 95%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3