Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,900 at 8 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,582 at 9 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 78582.07 / 78900 − 1 = -0.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology