Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $SAFE price at or after publication, $0.1031 at 8 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.09909 at 9 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.0990874233960337 / 0.103071073289953 − 1 = -3.9%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology