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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 Sept 2026, 15:52 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

Daan Crypto Trades

@DaanCrypto

$ETH With its first close above the Weekly 200 Moving since breaking down in January. This is a good next step to also get away from the May highs a little more. Still don't want to see this lose that ~$2350 area because that would set this up for lower. https://t.co/zjCujPPfqV

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,470 at 7 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,498 at 8 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 2498.35 / 2469.98 − 1 = +1.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH With its first close above the Weekly 200 Moving since breaking down in January.”
Confidence: 92%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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