Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,741 at 6 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $77,299 at 13 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 77298.6 / 79741.18 − 1 = -3.06%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.06% against a neutral band of ±2.50% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology