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Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2096551940763029633:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

neutralPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 6 Sept 2026, 10:51 UTC · fetched 12 Oct 2026, 06:23 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

All we need is for Bitcoin to close the weekly candle above the W 50 MA around $81,000. That’s when the mega pump will start.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,001 at 6 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,351 at 7 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
r = 79350.64 / 80000.63 − 1 = -0.81%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.81% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “All we need is for Bitcoin to close the weekly candle above the W 50 MA around $81,000.”
Confidence: 89%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

neutral

Baseline price

$80,001

Evaluation price

$79,351

Move

-0.81%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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