Published 6 Sept 2026, 10:26 UTC · fetched 13 Oct 2026, 05:55 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
Quoting · 16 Apr 2026, 09:45 UTC · context given to the AI
Many #Altcoins have similarities with the beginning of 2020 in terms of price action. An example is $ARB. Strong bullish divergence on the daily timeframe, implying that it's ready to reverse upwards. A clear breakout above the 21-Day MA. Volume kicking in and momentum starting to pick up (Layer 1's and other protocols within the $ETH ecosystem are also waking up). This breakout above the 21-Day MA is the first time since the Summer of '25, and that's when it becomes interesting. After the capitulation of Q4 2025, it takes ~2-4 months to build a base. That's the current phase of the trend. For #Bitcoin, it's already building a base for 2.5 months, so we're getting towards that end stage there too. On average, a breakout and a trend move will last 2-4 months and could average an impulse of 150-400% from the lows.I've been tweeting about ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 for the past 4-5 months, as the signals for this massive breakout upwards were there. It's now up 190% and it's just beginning. https://t.co/3GFaQ1b9yr https://t.co/5IezHSoWm2View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 0.166841797977995 / 0.195856580234734 − 1 = -14.81%d × r = -14.81% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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