Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,753 at 5 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $77,105 at 12 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 77105.44 / 79753.21 − 1 = -3.32%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.32% against a neutral band of ±2.50% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology