Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,802 at 5 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $77,364 at 12 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 77363.97 / 79802.01 − 1 = -3.06%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.06% against a neutral band of ±2.50% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology