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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 5 Sept 2026, 15:06 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH sell wall at $2,540. Ethereum buy wall at $2,430. This means ETH has not much resistance until the $2,500-$2,520 level. A weekend pump coming next? https://t.co/RHcQFBxDri

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,460 at 5 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $2,478 at 5 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
r = 2477.65 / 2460.41 − 1 = +0.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 4 hours (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$ETH sell wall at $2,540.”
Confidence: 90%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

Prediction evidence

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AI interpretation

Outcome record

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