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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 4 Sept 2026, 16:24 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

Large $BTC sell orders around the $82,300-$82,700 level. Someone doesn't want Bitcoin to make a higher high. https://t.co/K8MSrXlKur

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,751 at 4 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,057 at 5 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 80056.53 / 79750.77 − 1 = +0.4%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time