Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,185 at 4 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,621 at 5 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 79621.14 / 81185.27 − 1 = -1.9%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology