Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,042 at 4 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,635 at 5 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 79635 / 81041.79 − 1 = -1.74%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.74% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology