Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,791 at 4 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 4 hours horizon, $81,185 at 4 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 81185.27 / 80791.35 − 1 = +0.5%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology