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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Sept 2026, 20:01 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Nebraskangooner

@Nebraskangooner

Quoting · 3 Sept 2026, 14:24 UTC · context given to the AI

$ETH OBV broke down which led to a little downside but price is now holding 11ema support Recovery back above $2370 would send it back to $2500+ https://t.co/HVuH6ybDcX

$ETH Break of $2470 resistance and following through now. Almost new highs https://t.co/qTWE1hvBc3 https://t.co/NhaWnVs1UG

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,505 at 3 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,451 at 4 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC.
r = 2451.47 / 2505.27 − 1 = -2.1%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

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