Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,772 at 3 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $79,809 at 4 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 79808.55 / 81771.62 − 1 = -2.4%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology