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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Sept 2026, 15:37 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

Poseidon

@CryptoPoseidonn

In reply to · 3 Sept 2026, 15:01 UTC · context given to the AI

We went from $60k to $80k in a couple days I think $80k to $100k could happen faster and sooner than many think #bitcoin

@George1Trader 4k eth sooner

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,517 at 3 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,452 at 4 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 2452.07 / 2517.21 − 1 = -2.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time