Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 3 Sept 2026, 10:11 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

John

@CryptoGodJohn

Quoting · 3 Sept 2026, 08:29 UTC · context given to the AI

If boner hit 90 mil mc peptides should go much further imo

Boner hitting $90m while HIMS is a $6b company Peptides the biggest bio hacking phenomenon in the world is paired with Eli Lilly a $1T company 140x bigger company than HIMS $PEPTIDES should reprice much higher in the coming days https://t.co/zNNQOTyS5T

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $Peptides price at or after publication, $0.00004056 at 3 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $0.00002192 at 10 Sept 2026, 10:11 UTC.
r = 0.000021922748978312975 / 0.000040557278559397064 − 1 = -45.9%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -45.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $Peptides ($Peptides)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 7 days (stated in post)
Evidence span: “$PEPTIDES should reprice much higher in the coming days https://t.co/zNNQOTyS5T”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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