Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,027 at 3 Sept 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,979 at 4 Sept 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 80979.1 / 77026.99 − 1 = +5.1%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -5.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology