Loading…

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Sept 2026, 18:52 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

exitpump

@exitpumpBTC

bitcoin:native Shorted here, 77.5k is a clean S/R level, acted as support earlier, now acting as resistance. Good part about this trade is that I can put my stop loss just 0.5% above entry and aim for 2.5%, which is pretty good to me. https://t.co/NEowsqUq7e

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,346 at 2 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,268 at 3 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 81268.42 / 77345.92 − 1 = +5.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -5.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “bitcoin:native Shorted here, 77.5k is a clean S/R level, acted as support earlier, now acting as resistance.”
Confidence: 96%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

AI interpretation

Outcome record

Request a correction