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Leaderboard / @cryptojack / 2095220572854591909:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 2 Sept 2026, 18:41 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

cr

CryptoJack

@cryptojack

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Cycle Momentum indicator has turned positive for the first time after 8 months of bearish momentum. This could signal that BTC is starting to break out of its downtrend. A move toward the 20-30 zone would strengthen the reversal signal. https://t.co/YJxGQrqyWL

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,346 at 2 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,268 at 3 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 81268.42 / 77345.92 − 1 = +5.07%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +5.07% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Cycle Momentum indicator has turned positive for the first time after 8 months of bearish momentum.”
Confidence: 85%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$77,346

Evaluation price

$81,268

Move

+5.07%

Neutral threshold

±1.00%

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

20 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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